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The First
International Symposium of Climate Change and
Dendrochronology in Caspian Ecosystems
Since the
middle of the 19th century the amount of
atmospheric carbon dioxide has increased by about 25
percent. Most regions in both the northern and southern have
warmed up. The average global temperature has increased from
0.5 oC to 0.7 oC since 1860. However
the mean global temperature declined between 1940 and 1965
in spite of the continuous increase in heat-trapping gases
in the atmosphere. But some general circulation models
(GCMs) were reported that the mean annual global temperature
will rise by 1.5 to 5 oC in summer over a period
of 100 years and warming trends will vary from region to
region around the world. A number of recent simulation
studies on climate response to the doubling of CO2
have confirmed the earlier estimates of an increase in
global surface temperature over the next century by 3oC
with confidence interval of 1.5oC with a warming
enhancement at high latitudes of possible
greenhouse-gas-forced temperature changes predicted that
between 1990 and 2030 the global mean temperature will
increase by 0.4-2.3oC with a best estimate in the
range of 1.0-1.7oC. Since by different methods the
predictions are varied but totally it
showed that the climate
was changed and continuousness.
Dendrochronogy studies mainly deals with the dating and
analysis of tree-ring layers in wood in order to find
relationships between past forest disturbances and tree
productivity and growth. Dendro and chro are Greek words
meaning tree and time. Chronology is the science of
measuring time on a regular basis. Analysts are beginning to
deal with special variations in both tree-ring chronology
and climatic variables.
We can use tree-ring in many different scientific areas.
Fore example, dendroclimatology, which is a subfield science
of dendrochronology, utilizes dated tree rings to study past
and present climate. Dendroecology is also a subfield of
dendrochronology which utilizes dated tree rings to study
ecological and environmental problems. Dendroecology can
provide quantitative and precise information on past
environmental conditions associated with past tree growth
activity. Tree-ring studies have played an important role in
dendrochronology by providing a long term historical
perspective of events.
Tree-ring analysis has been extensively used to reconstruct
past climatic fluctuations. The best dendrochronological
material for this kind of study often comes from extreme
environments, such as semiarid sites and mountain regions
where tree growth is clearly limited by climatic factors.
So many meetings have been done in the last decades and
discussed about climate changes. For example in June, 2007,
Environment Ministers from 28 countries met at Sweden for an
informal discussion on international cooperative action on
climate change. As a result, by changing environment in the
world, this conference intends to know what happened in
Caspian environment during in the last decades.
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